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With a recap from Mid-November to Mid-February, it’s good to see numbers in the green as our Strong Valley advisor team discusses stock performance and bonds. Answering the top three questions from clients: Why doesn’t my banker call me about higher rates? How to best set up banking and investment accounts to work together? and the big one – What about the recession? the team gives insight into preparing for the 2023 recession. We wrap up with predictions for the coming quarter and how the market as a leading indicator plays an important role.

In this January recap, Strong Valley team members Adam Tirapelle and Kyle Trippel discuss the events and the corresponding data that gives insight into what the market is reacting to. Also included is a preview of what might happen in February and a closer look at the Fed Funds. Is there a silver lining?

It’s been a rough year and there’s no way to sugarcoat it. Strong Valley team members Jason and Kyle give a quick look at what happened overall, who it hurt most, and what could happen next by looking at historical examples. They also discuss the stats and how our feelings may not paint a true picture.

Here are some of the topics we cover in this brief 2022 update:
• 2023 performance recap
• Federal Rate Hikes
• Inflation

Taking a look at their previous predictions, the team discusses inflation and rate hikes: where they went, what they’re doing now, and how they could predict that trend. Here’s what they see, in their opinion, coming in the new year.

For anyone who is trying to time the market or is even considering it, the team gives some great information that clarifies the process. They also talk about cash and how it relates to higher interest rates and a recession.

The team discusses stats from previous recessions and how the stock market has done before, during and after the big recessions. They also demystify leading indicators and bring up some silver linings that you may not have considered before. Enjoy this highlight clip from the Strong Valley Mid-Quarter Roundtable discussion.

The team shares insights about the blowup of the “get rich quick” crypto blockchain market and its relation to the established financial market. How is the stock or bond market any different? What can be learned from the volatility of a new asset class forming?

There is no riskless asset. Even if you had it all in green – someone could steal it, your house could catch fire, or inflation could devalue it. The team points out some of the pros and cons of money market vs. bank deposit.

The team offers their predictions on where the Fed Funds may be going in the New Year, with a recap of what has happened this past year, especially in relation to bond performance.

Inflation hasn’t gone away. An examination of true inflation helps the team explain why rising costs were a factor in the exit polls and how some costs are hitting harder than others. There may be relief on the horizon as they look at historical inflation and how it peaks.