Articles View: Market Commentary

January 2, 2024
Bonds Rebound with Historic Rally

After losing money in 6 consecutive months, bonds make a historic rebound along with a bounce back in 60/40 portfolios. This market overview also includes more data on the bond market and how to understand changes to interest rates and bond returns by looking at history.

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November 29, 2023
Historic Stock and Bond Streaks

Is there potentially peak pessimism for bonds? Check out past stats for losing streaks for stocks and bonds, as well as long-term bond returns and starting interest rates. Take a look to see how not all stocks within the S&P500 are the same and find the historic sweet spots for stock and bond returns during a Fed pause.

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October 31, 2023
Historic Dips in Bonds

Along with an October recap, team members Adam Tirapelle and Jason Rankin explain what’s happening with down bond returns and the history with bond returns using data going back to 1928. They also clarify drawdowns and the feeling they evoke, along with Housing, Cash Concerns and the effects of Global Events on the Market.

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October 26, 2023
Peak Inflation and Performance

This month’s market overview takes a closer look at cash options and bond performance. Find out where there’s good news in performance since the low in interest rates. And check out the stats coming in that have been tracking stock volatility this year along with a glimpse of what the 4th quarter may hold.

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October 1, 2023
Making Sense of Sticky Inflation Effects

Strong Valley team members Adam and Chris give a recap of September along with a discussion about how interest rates are being affected by Sticky Inflation. They also touch on the housing market, college values, and an update on the Secure Act 2.0 details that could affect your RMD.

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September 26, 2023
Peak Yield Curve Inversion?

This month’s Student of the Market explores the peak yield curve inversion and what happens in the gap between short-term and long-term interest rates, along with looking at the real yield impact of inflation. You’ve probably noticed that upcoming elections are ramping up quickly. Here’s a peak at historical stock returns in election years and what might be on the horizon.

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August 26, 2023
The 60/40 Portfolio Bounces Back

In this monthly market overview, we look at the 60/40 portfolio and what it’s been doing, how the Fed funds rate has surpassed inflation and what that could mean for bonds. Also a check on the housing market, Tech Stocks, AI breakthroughs and the anatomy of a Bull Market.

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July 31, 2023
Time to Shop Your Cash plus GDP Surprises

In this review of July, Strong Valley team members Jason and Kyle talk about how important it is to shop your cash now that the rates make it worthwhile. They also discuss several surprises in the GDP and Housing Market, along with forecasts for rate hikes and the long predicted recession.

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July 20, 2023
The Positive Start Continues for U.S. Stocks

With a look at the first 6 months of 2023, this overview examines past “positive starts” in the U.S. Stock Market, gives data for the easing of stock volatility, and how the Feds raising rates may affect performance. Included is a deeper look at bonds and retirement income planning, such as U.S. inflation versus cash, bonds and stocks and the importance of withdrawal planning.

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July 7, 2023
Tech Titans and Real Estate Resilience

Strong Valley team members Chris and Jason discuss the performance of domestic and international markets, bonds, commodities, and real estate. They highlight the significant influence of big tech stocks and the impact of a few key players on overall market trends. They also explore the unexpected stability in real estate prices despite rising mortgage rates. They conclude with a discussion on the challenges in the commercial real estate sector due to high vacancy rates, largely driven by the enduring work-from-home trend.

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